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Edge for UPA+in exit polls, Assam for Cong; W.B.for TMC; DMK exit in TN; UDF ahead in Kerala
Spl. Correspondent/AGENCIES NEW DELHI, May 11:
Published on 12 May. 2011 1:10 AM IST
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Assam: Amidst hectic back room political parleys, the exit poll results are bad news for the Opposition AGP, while the Congress may lose its majority in the 126-member Assembly.
The CNN-IBN-Hindu exit poll has predicted that the ruling Congress is still likely to emerge the single largest party. In the outgoing House, the Congress had 71 seats as against AGP’s 20 and BJP’s 8. Both the CPI and CPI-M had drawn blank in the 2001 Assembly elections while as many as 27 seats were with other parties and independents (19).
The group, C-VOTER, which claimed that under normal conditions this could have provided a “big anti-incumbency verdict”, but by not contesting together, the AGP and the BJP have missed a golden opportunity of what could have been a total wipe-out of the Congress.
Meanwhile, back room politicking is on with AICC general secretary in-charge for Assam, Digvijay Singh calling on AIUDF chief Badruddin Ajmal at his South Avenue residence for what was described as a courtesy visit, sources said.
Tamilnadu: Friday, the 13th could mark the end of Karunanidhi’s rule in Tamil Nadu, if the outcome of most post-poll surveys are anything to go by. While one TV channel predicted an AIADMK sweep, two others saw a photo finish. The CNN IBN-The Week post-poll survey, conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), shows that the backlash against corruption is only a nose ahead of approval of governance.
It said the AIADMK alliance would bag anywhere between 120 and 132 seats in the 234-member Assembly, pipping the DMK front by an 18-vote margin. The Headlines Today-ORG survey alone showed a swing from the tide. It gave the DMK-led alliance 115-130 seats and the opposition 105-120 seats. The poll showed that poorer sections were giving the Jayalalithaa the edge. While 49 per cent of the lower middle-class favours the AIADMK, the poor have come out more openly in support of the party chief with a 54 per cent vote. However, there are takeaways for Karunanidhi too. Sixty-eight per cent of the respondents gave his party’s governance the thumbs up as against 65 per cent for the AIADMK.
West Bengal: Come May 13, the Red bastion in West Bengal is set to collapse with Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee looking set to enter Writers’s Building with a dream mandate.
According to the findings of the Headlines Today-ORG-post poll survery, the Left’s 34-year reign in Bengal is all set to end in three days. The survey projects the Trinamool and Congress are likely to win 210-220 seats, while the Left is likely to manage just 65-70 in a 294-member House. For the ruling Left, it might be a loss of 153 to 168 seats. Simply put, the Left is staring at a rout.
And it’s a total reversal of fortunes for Mamata’s anti-Left Mahajot - 159 to 169 seats more than the last Assembly elections of 2006. As for the vote share of the players in the 2006 elections, the Left was the undisputed champion with 48% vote share. The CNN-IBN-The Week post-polls confirms what has been a foregone conclusion among the political watchers in Bengal and outside. The time for change – ‘paribartan’ as the Trinamool slogan goes in Bengali- is here.
Kerala: Star News projects the Congress-led United Democratic Alliance’s victory in Kerala. The UDF is expected to win 88 while CPM-led Left Democratic Front will win 49. C-VOTER exit poll also predicts a clear victory for the UDF. However, CNN-IBN-CSDS survey says the LDF is placed marginally ahead but verdict too close to call, while Headlines Today gave the Congress-led UDF a clear majority.

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