Great expectations

By Nagaland Post | Publish Date: 5/9/2019 12:10:57 PM IST

 In anticipation of a post-poll scenario where the NDA is expected to fall far short of the half-way mark and opening the opportunity for non-BJP/NDA parties to explore government formation, the opposition has decided to strategise on meeting the president of India to stake claim after results are declared. Leaders of the opposition have decided to meet on May 21 and approach the President immediately with the request that the single largest party, which most opinion polls predicted would be the BJP, is not invited first in case of a hung house. The opposition believe that the BJP under Modi will not have the numbers and that the non-BJP conglomeration will have the numbers. However, the biggest question is whether the disparate groups can even stand together for a day?. This will be in the mind of the president of India when he weighs the facts before making a decision. The Constitution confers discretionary powers on the President of India in extending invite for the formation of the government in case of a fractured mandate. Twenty-one political parties, who together had also moved the Supreme Court over increasing verification of voter slips, are planning to also send a letter to the President that will say that once the result is out, they would present letters of support to form a government. If the BJP cannot get past 200 then it will have an uphill task in convincing other opposition leaders against whom Modi has said very harsh things as the ruling party had been over confident of another sweep. The main opposition parties such as Trinamool, Biju Janata Dal(BJD), YSRCP or Telengana Rashtra Samiti(TRS) or even TDP are more inclined in forging an all-party front minus both Congress and BJP. However, they may not finally hang on long enough, if ever they get the next invite from the President of India to form a government because they will start falling apart of the issue of who becomes the prime minister? As for the Congress, it should be extremely satisfied if it can cross the 100-mark to play a central role in backing a non-BJP government. For the BJP, sitting in the opposition will be a death blow and so it can be expected that the party will pull out all stops to ensure it gets back to power. The BJP is the richest ever political party in Indian history and its awesome resources can be used to lure many opposition leaders. The other is that if BJP wins hardly 200 seats, then Modi will certainly no longer be around to claim back the prime minister’s chair. If the BJP wants to retain power, in such a scenario, then other BJP leaders, such as Nitin Gadkari or Sushma Swaraj or even Rajnath Singh who are more acceptable to the other opposition parties, could be thrown up to form another NDA. Coalition dharma may also mean political instability when regional parties put the interests of their respective states over that of the entire nation. The two coalitions that have lasted their terms are the UPA and NDA while the Third Front or National Front of regional parties had cracked and fallen even before completing half their tenures. A school of thought that suggests a two-party system gains credence due to the dilemma of coalition dharma.

Launched on December 3,1990. Nagaland Post is the first and highest circulated newspaper of Nagaland state. Nagaland Post is also the first newspaper in Nagaland to be published in multi-colour.

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