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Next 3 months decisive: Vardhan

Next 3 months decisive: Vardhan
Harsh Vardhan (File)
NEW DELHI, OCT 23 | Publish Date: 10/23/2020 12:12:21 PM IST

Union Health Minister Harsh Vardhan on Friday said the next three months are going to be decisive in determining the coronavirus situation in the country as he urged people to follow COVID appropriate behaviour in the coming festival season and winter months.

He also highlighted that the number of active COVID-19 cases in the country are less than 7 lakh and the doubling rate has increased to 97.2 days.

Vardhan, who reviewed the COVID-19 preparedness with the health and medical education ministers and other senior officials of Uttar Pradesh, said in the last three months, the country has seen significant improvement in the COVID parameters, the health ministry said in a statement.

“From recording over 95,000 COVID-19 cases in a day, they have been substantially reduced to less than 55,000 per day. The recovery rate of India is nearing 90 per cent. The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is also declining. CFR stands at 1.51 per cent and is moving towards the target of being less than 1 per cent,” he was quoted as saying in the statement.

“The number of active cases are less than 7 lakh and the doubling rate has increased to 97.2 days, as of now,” Vardhan said. From just one lab, the country now has nearly 2,000 laboratories. The number of total COVID-19 tests conducted across the country have surpassed 10 crore.

“This is a positive indication that we are moving in the right direction,” the minister said.

He said appropriate measures are being taken to combat the infectious disease. “But the next three months are going to be decisive in determining the situation of COVID-19 in the country. If we take adequate precaution and follow COVID appropriate behaviour in the coming festival and winter season, we will be in a better position to fight coronavirus,” Vardhan said.

“For a big state like Uttar Pradesh, it becomes important that maximum thrust is given to simple precautionary measures which are effective in preventing the spread of the disease to a large extent like wearing masks/face cover, especially in public spaces, and following hand and respiratory etiquettes,” he added.

The health minister also spoke to officials of the districts where fresh COVID-19 cases or deaths are increasing. Vardhan also stressed that the northern state needs to focus on increasing testing, surveillance, contact tracing and early diagnosis to keep the fatality rate low. 

COVID in India mainly driven by super-spreaders: Earlier this month, the researchers said that the transmission of the coronavirus in India has been mainly driven by super-spreaders, PTI reported. The World Health Organization describes “super-spreading” as incidents of transmission where a large number of people can become infected from a common source.

A contact tracing study, said to be the largest epidemiological analyses conducted in the world, was published in the journal Science. The researchers, including those from Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, found that over 70% of infected patients in the country did not pass the disease to any of their contacts, while 8% of infected individuals accounted for 60% of new infections.

The study assessed the infection transmission patterns in 5,75,071 individuals, who were exposed to 84,965 confirmed coronavirus cases, in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh. Data for the study was gathered by thousands of contact-tracers during the nationwide lockdown to rein in the infection. 

Both the states account for about 10% of the country’s population. It revealed that children are more efficient transmitters of the virus than initially believed. Researchers found children under 14 to be frequent “silent” spreaders of the virus, especially to their parents and friends. 

 

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