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2nd wave of COVID peak likely in Apr: Report

2nd wave of COVID peak likely in Apr: Report
NEW DELHI, MAR 26 (AGENCIES) | Publish Date: 3/26/2021 1:29:43 PM IST

India is in the midst of a second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. Considering the duration from the present level of daily new cases to the peak India saw last year, the country is expected to reach the high in the second half of April. The second wave, which could last until the end of May, could see an addition of 25 lakh cases if trends till March 23 are taken into consideration.

These projections are part of findings of a State Bank of India (SBI) research report titled ‘The second wave of infections: The beginning of the end’ by Chief Economic Advisor Soumya Kanti Ghosh.

In the report, Ghosh assessed that the duration of the second Covi-19 wave might last up to 100 days starting from Feb 15, while he added that vaccination is a more effective way than lockdown to beat the pandemic.

The daily spike in coronavirus cases during the peak in the second wave could be much higher than last year, the report warns.

The only silver lining this time, according to the report, is the availability of vaccines.

The report argued that if one considers the number of days taken to reach the current level from the lowest level of daily new cases witnessed on February 21, the time it took for second wave to hit India is similar to what happened in the first wave.

District-wise analysis: A district-wise analysis in the report revealed that cases have again started rising in the top 15 districts of India, mostly urban, while the spread in rural districts is almost stable.

The report points out that Kerala had the maximum number of worst-affected districts in January 2021. However, all districts in this top-10 list are now rural districts of Maharashtra.

Recommending a strong push to the vaccination programme, the report says, “If the daily vaccine inoculation increases to 40-45 lakh from the current maximum level of 34 lakh, then we can vaccinate our population above 45 years in four months from now.”

SBI report also proposes restrictions to prevent spread of Covid-19. “Air travel has slowly inched towards the level it was at...However, a plethora of new variants emerging still make a case for being wary about the overall recovery in air travel,” it noted.

State govts asked to regulate crowd during upcoming festivals

Centre on Friday asked states to regulate crowd during upcoming festivals like Holi, Easter and Eid in view of rising cases of COVID-19. In a communication to chief secretaries of all states and union territories, Union Home Secretary Ajay Bhalla said the country is passing through a critical juncture as COVID-19 cases and deaths have been on the rise.

Bhalla said after assessing the situation, guidelines for effective control of COVID-19 were issued by the Ministry on March 23 and it has been emphasised that states should strictly enforce the ‘test-track-treat’ protocol. It has also been told that COVID-19 appropriate behaviour should be observed and prescribed SOPs to be followed.

Launched on December 3,1990. Nagaland Post is the first and highest circulated newspaper of Nagaland state. Nagaland Post is also the first newspaper in Nagaland to be published in multi-colour.

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